Longtail

Problem Statement

Prediction markets today are limited to high-profile events curated by centralized platforms. The long tail — niche, specific questions about the future — has no market because the overhead of creating, matching, and resolving individual bets is too high. A single bet about whether your city council will approve a transit plan, or whether a specific GitHub repo will hit 1k stars, isn't worth the operational cost for a traditional platform. Longtail uses AI agents to eliminate that overhead: one agent structures the prediction, another deploys the escrow contract, and a third resolves the outcome via an LLM jury. This makes it viable to create a market for any verifiable yes/no question at any stake size.